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Istat: under Italian 2015

The demographic picture drawn by Istat in a report that estimated trends in 2014 highlights: In Italy fall births and deaths fall also. 5,000 infants less in 2014 than the previous year and about 4,000 fewer deaths.

The resident population in Italy totaled 60 million 808 thousand residents (of which 5 million 73 thousand foreigners) to January 1, 2015.



But we look at the data in detail.

BIRTHS

Are 509,000 births, the lowest level since the Unification of Italy. The average number of children per woman is equal to 1.39, as in 2013 (in 2010 it was 1.46) compared with an EU average of 1.58 (2012); for foreign 1.91 (this is attributed to the 19% of total births) in 2013 was 2.1. The average age at birth increased to 31.5 years. The birth rate is 8.4 per thousand (it was 8.5 in 2013); Trentino Alto Adige to the record for births (9.9), followed by Campania (8.9). The last places Liguria (6.9) and Sardinia (7.1).

POPULATION

Slight increase in population of 0.4 per thousand, the lowest growth rate over the past decade. Just 26,000 units more. The rate of increase was generally positive in the North (+1.2 per thousand) and in the center (+1.3), negative in the South (-1.1). Particularly positive growth in Lombardy (+4.1) and in Trentino Alto Adige (+3.7); decline in the Friuli Venezia Giulia (-1.4), Piedmont (-2.2) and Liguria (-5.4). Foreigners are 8.3% of the population.

LIFE EXPECTANCY

For men it has come to 80.2 years and for women 84.9. The average age of the population reached 44.4 years; 13.8% are under 14, 64.4% from 15 to 64 years, 21.7% from 65 years and up

DEATHS

The dead are 597,000 units. In Liguria also the highest mortality rate (13.2 per thousand)



Some analysts are concerned by the current situation, claiming that "this birth rate is insufficient to guarantee the necessary generational change". If the route is reversed and if you do not encourage births the entire welfare system in danger of collapse. In 2041 the largest age group is that of the seventies. The most immediate effect of the rapid aging of the population will be the rapid growth of pension costs and welfare. Already, the system does not function effectively, but without a change of generation in the world of work If the production machine is not back into gear and will not be able to create new jobs, in thirty years there will be 12 retirees for every 10 active workers. It is not enough: the lack of births also means a rapidly aging workforce, lower investment, progressive narrowing of the audience of Italians who pays taxes. Conclusion: In order to maintain at least the current level of assistance, Italians may have to undergo a greater tax burden.




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